Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.556029 1.798274 2.060464 2.364659 2.707173 3.080189 3.516435
2024-10-20 1.121868 1.441648 1.819561 2.296096 2.877637 3.560742 4.420052
2024-10-27 0.876902 1.238381 1.699809 2.324691 3.140446 4.159957 5.519828
2024-11-03 0.703795 1.082578 1.600580 2.347322 3.380259 4.740493 6.645235
2024-11-10 0.570438 0.949700 1.502095 2.344417 3.570684 5.260613 7.727810
2024-11-17 0.460908 0.827375 1.393746 2.303450 3.690970 5.682858 8.700624
2024-11-24 0.374447 0.722521 1.291584 2.251071 3.778644 6.054562 9.619434
2024-12-01 0.318498 0.656710 1.238631 2.263390 3.957923 6.565899 10.770436
2024-12-08 0.268276 0.590598 1.173572 2.244139 4.079551 6.992185 11.816289
2024-12-15 0.238339 0.556413 1.157766 2.303427 4.330094 7.631966 13.227995
2024-12-22 0.206463 0.511852 1.115758 2.309475 4.487846 8.129954 14.442930
2024-12-29 0.190414 0.497232 1.127771 2.413670 4.822327 8.937260 16.203750
2025-01-05 0.171457 0.473745 1.121285 2.486598 5.115604 9.709846 17.981852
2025-01-12 0.146139 0.430321 1.067917 2.462622 5.230523 10.187770 19.302224
2025-01-19 0.130510 0.407045 1.053711 2.515037 5.492910 10.941406 21.142097
2025-01-26 0.115646 0.382304 1.032300 2.549359 5.722335 11.650290 22.945594
2025-02-02 0.100770 0.353885 0.997777 2.550802 5.885453 12.247180 24.583411
2025-02-09 0.085678 0.320879 0.946707 2.508745 5.954983 12.672180 25.932728
2025-02-16 0.072256 0.289099 0.893038 2.453224 5.989646 13.030448 27.176445
2025-02-23 0.063774 0.270623 0.870368 2.466908 6.171253 13.682015 29.000716
2025-03-02 0.055123 0.249017 0.835505 2.446343 6.275229 14.185267 30.568209
2025-03-09 0.050519 0.240382 0.835006 2.510326 6.571021 15.087235 32.944076
2025-03-16 0.044626 0.225173 0.813063 2.516882 6.736485 15.733246 34.852842